Modigliani-Miller Theorem - is it Any Good For Business Valuation?
MediaWhat is the Modigliani-Miller Theorem? - Are they useful in Business Valuation? Let's discuss
What is the Modigliani-Miller Theorem?
The Modigliani-Miller theorem is a fundamental principle in finance that
describe the relationship between the capital structure of the firm and its value.
The theorem is called after Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller. Modigliani and Miller developed the idea in the 1950s and published several influential papers on the topic. Their work was groundbreaking at the time and has had a lasting impact on finance. The Modigliani-Miller theorem is now widely studied and is considered a benchmark for evaluating the financial decisions of firms.
Franco Modigliani won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1985, while Meton
Miller - was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1990.
The Modigliani-Miller theorems
Modigliani-Miller formulated two theorems - the first is for a world without taxes, and the second - is for a world with taxes.
The original version assumes that there are no taxes and no costs of financial distress, and an extended version considers these factors. The original version is known as the "static trade-off theory," while the extended version is known as the "pecking order theory."
The Modigliani-Miller theorem has been widely studied and has significantly impacted finance. It is often used as a benchmark for evaluating the financial decisions of firms and has been influential in shaping how firms approach financing and capital structure.
Modigliani-Miller Theorem in a world without taxes
Modigliani-Miller Theorem in the no-tax world states that the value of a firm is independent of its capital structure, meaning that the mix of debt and equity used by the firm has no effect on its overall value.
To understand the theorem, it's helpful to consider two firms that are identical in every way except for their capital structure. Firm A has a higher proportion of debt financing, while Firm B has a higher proportion of equity financing. According to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, the value of Firm A should be the same as that of Firm B.
Numerical Example for the Modigliani-Miller Theorem In a World Without Taxes
Suppose that there are two firms, Firm A and Firm B, that are identical in every way except for their capital structure.
Firm A has a capital structure that is 60% debt and 40% equity, while Firm B has a capital structure that is 40% debt and 60% equity.
According to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, in a world without taxes - the value of Firm A should be the same as the value of Firm B.
Why is that?
This is because the firm's value is determined by its expected future cash flows, and the choice of financing - whether through debt or equity - does not affect the firm's overall value.
Suppose each firm produces an annual cash flow of 10 million USD. Suppose also the weighted average cost of capital is 10%.
Therefore - the value of each of the firms is 100 million USD
(10/0.1)
The reason that the value does not change stems from the fact the weighted average cost of capital is not affected by the debt.
Firm A:
Debt financing: 60% * 100 million USD = $60 million
Equity financing: 40% * $100 million = $40 million
Total value: $60 million + $40 million = $100 million USD
Firm B:
Debt financing: 40% * $100 million = $40 million USD
Equity financing: 60% * $100 million = $60 million
Total value: $40 million + $60 million = $100 million
The value of Firm A is $100 million, and the value of Firm B is also $100 million. This demonstrates that the value of a firm is independent of its capital structure, as predicted by the Modigliani-Miller theorem.
Modigliani-Miller Theorem in a world without taxes
In the real world, taxes do exist and can impact a firm's value.
The value of a firm is still determined by its expected future cash flows and the risk associated with those cash flows. However, the financing choice - whether through debt or equity - can affect the firm's value because of the tax implications of different financing options. In other words, the financing options affect the weighted average cost of capital.
Why can the value increase?
Interest payments on debt are tax-deductible.
The taxes will decrease the firm's profits and, therefore, its value.
On the other hand, the deduction of taxes will decrease the weighted average cost of capital, and therefore the value increases.
The overall effect will be an increase in the value.
Numerical Example for the Modigliani-Miller Theorem In a World Without Taxes
Suppose that there are two firms, Firm A and Firm B, that are identical in every way except for their capital structure.
Firm A has a capital structure that is 60% debt and 40% equity, while Firm B has a capital structure that is 40% debt and 60% equity.
The tax rate is 30%.
The weighted average cost of capital of firm A will be higher due to higher deductible taxes.
A further extension of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem
If a firm uses too much debt financing, it can become over-leveraged and risk financial distress. This can lead to a lower value for the firm, as investors will be concerned about the risk of default.
Does The Modigliani-Miller is Used in the Real World?
The Modigliani-Miller theorem is widely studied and considered a fundamental finance principle. It is often used as a benchmark for evaluating the financial decisions of firms and has had a significant impact on how firms approach financing and capital structure.
That being said, the theorem is based on certain assumptions - such as the assumption that markets are efficient and that investors are rational - which may only sometimes hold true in the real world.
As a result, the Modigliani-Miller theorem is only sometimes applicable in practice, and firms may deviate from the predictions of the theorem to optimize their capital structure for other reasons.
Additionally, the Modigliani-Miller theorem does not consider other factors that can affect a firm's value, such as growth opportunities or competitive advantage, which may be important considerations for firms in the real world.
Overall, while the Modigliani-Miller theorem is an essential theoretical framework for understanding the relationship between capital structure and firm value, it is not always applicable in practice and should be used with caution.
Conclusion
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